Shanghai · HARD

Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas prediction

14 October 2026 · 12:10

FINAL RESULTDaniil MedvedevWinner2-0
Daniil Medvedev — Flashscore photo

Daniil Medvedev

RUS

Age 30

Overall Elo
1965.0
Hard Elo
1943.1
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Stefanos Tsitsipas — Flashscore photo

Stefanos Tsitsipas

GRE

Age 28

Overall Elo
1890.0
Hard Elo
1842.4
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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MATCH RESULT AND ANALYSIS

Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas prediction, H2H and odds

Daniil Medvedev won the match with a final score of 2-0. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas statistical comparison

Daniil Medvedev and Stefanos Tsitsipas are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD45–18Daniil Medvedev
RECENT FORM3–1Daniil Medvedev · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM3–1Stefanos Tsitsipas · last 5
2026 RECORD34–22Stefanos Tsitsipas
Daniil Medvedev1943.1hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP100.7between the players
Stefanos Tsitsipas1842.4hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Daniil Medvedev1.51Market odds
Stefanos Tsitsipas2.59Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Daniil Medvedev recent form

  1. –(5) Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas [GRE]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R16—
  2. W(5) Medvedev d. (Q) Dalibor Svrcina [CZE]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R326-2 6-3
  3. W(5) Medvedev d. Jan Lennard Struff [GER]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R644-6 6-4 6-3
  4. L(6) Novak Djokovic [SRB] d. (3) Medvedev30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · SF7-5 5-3 Def.
  5. W(3) Medvedev d. Francisco Cerundolo [ARG]30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · QF7-6(4) 6-3
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Stefanos Tsitsipas recent form

  1. –Tsitsipas vs (5) Daniil Medvedev [RUS]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R16—
  2. WTsitsipas d. (11) Taylor Fritz [USA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R323-6 7-5 6-3
  3. WTsitsipas d. (18) Luciano Darderi [ITA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-3 6-4
  4. WTsitsipas d. (Q) Kimmer Coppejans [BEL]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1286-3 7-5
  5. L(8) Valentin Vacherot [MON] d. (Q) Tsitsipas30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R164-6 7-6(5) 6-4
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas statistical comparison

Daniil Medvedev has a 71.4% win rate across 63 2026 matches. Stefanos Tsitsipas has a 60.7% win rate across 56 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Daniil Medvedev is 3–1 and Stefanos Tsitsipas is 3–1. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Daniil Medvedev records 84.4% of service games held and 65.7% of service points won. Stefanos Tsitsipas records 87.8% of service games held and 68.2% of service points won.

On return, Daniil Medvedev records 28.2% of return games broken and 40.7% of return points won. Stefanos Tsitsipas records 16.4% of return games broken and 33.7% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 11.6% for Daniil Medvedev and 10.0% for Stefanos Tsitsipas.

Daniil Medvedev holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 100.7 points. The rating baseline converts to 64.1% for Daniil Medvedev and 35.9% for Stefanos Tsitsipas before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Stefanos Tsitsipas enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (87.8% versus 84.4%). Daniil Medvedev has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (28.2% versus 16.4%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.