Olbia · HARD

Luca Nardi vs Lorenzo Carboni prediction

14 October 2026 · 17:10

FINAL RESULTLuca NardiWinner2-0
Luca Nardi — Flashscore photo

Luca Nardi

ITA

Age 23

Overall Elo
1560.0
Hard Elo
1550.4
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
LC

Lorenzo Carboni

ITA

Age 20

Flashscore photo unavailable.

Overall Elo
1138.0
Hard Elo
1112.3
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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MATCH RESULT AND ANALYSIS

Luca Nardi vs Lorenzo Carboni prediction, H2H and odds

Luca Nardi won the match with a final score of 2-0. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Luca Nardi vs Lorenzo Carboni statistical comparison

Luca Nardi and Lorenzo Carboni are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD12–13Luca Nardi
RECENT FORM2–2Luca Nardi · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM1–4Lorenzo Carboni · last 5
2026 RECORD3–11Lorenzo Carboni
Luca Nardi1550.4hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP438.1between the players
Lorenzo Carboni1112.3hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Luca Nardi vs Lorenzo Carboni

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Luca Nardi1.28Market odds
Lorenzo Carboni3.35Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Luca Nardi recent form

  1. –Nardi vs (4) Michael Mmoh [USA]12-Oct-2026 · Olbia CH · Hard · QF—
  2. WNardi d. (WC) Lorenzo Carboni [ITA]12-Oct-2026 · Olbia CH · Hard · R166-4 6-1
  3. WNardi d. August Holmgren [DEN]12-Oct-2026 · Olbia CH · Hard · R324-6 6-4 6-4
  4. L(5) Pablo Llamas Ruiz [ESP] d. (Alt) Nardi05-Oct-2026 · Villena CH · Hard · R326-1 7-6(5)
  5. LFederico Cina [ITA] d. Nardi31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · Q16-4 3-0 RET
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Lorenzo Carboni recent form

  1. LLuca Nardi [ITA] d. (WC) Carboni12-Oct-2026 · Olbia CH · Hard · R166-4 6-1
  2. W(WC) Carboni d. (7) Mackenzie Mcdonald [USA]12-Oct-2026 · Olbia CH · Hard · R326-7(5) 6-4 1-0 RET
  3. LGerard Campana Lee [KOR] d. (9) Carboni07-Sep-2026 · Seville CH · Clay · Q16-2 6-3
  4. L(2) Pedro Martinez [ESP] d. (WC) Carboni31-Aug-2026 · Como CH · Clay · R326-1 3-0 RET
  5. LAndrey Chepelev [RUS] d. Carboni24-Aug-2026 · M25 Lausanne · Clay · SF6-1 6-4
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Luca Nardi vs Lorenzo Carboni statistical comparison

Luca Nardi has a 48.0% win rate across 25 2026 matches. Lorenzo Carboni has a 21.4% win rate across 14 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Luca Nardi is 2–2 and Lorenzo Carboni is 1–4. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Luca Nardi records 77.5% of service games held and 62.2% of service points won. Lorenzo Carboni records 59.8% of service games held and 54.8% of service points won.

On return, Luca Nardi records 26.1% of return games broken and 39.2% of return points won. Lorenzo Carboni records 24.6% of return games broken and 37.5% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 4.5% for Luca Nardi and 2.5% for Lorenzo Carboni.

Luca Nardi holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 438.1 points. The rating baseline converts to 92.6% for Luca Nardi and 7.4% for Lorenzo Carboni before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Luca Nardi enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (77.5% versus 59.8%). Luca Nardi has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (26.1% versus 24.6%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Luca Nardi vs Lorenzo Carboni prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Luca Nardi vs Lorenzo Carboni H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.