Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul prediction

Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul statistical comparison

Daniil Medvedev has a 71.4% win rate across 63 2026 matches. Tommy Paul has a 68.3% win rate across 60 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Daniil Medvedev is 3–1 and Tommy Paul is 2–2. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Daniil Medvedev records 84.4% of service games held and 65.7% of service points won. Tommy Paul records 84.5% of service games held and 66.7% of service points won.

On return, Daniil Medvedev records 28.2% of return games broken and 40.7% of return points won. Tommy Paul records 24.7% of return games broken and 38.4% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 11.6% for Daniil Medvedev and 8.3% for Tommy Paul.

Daniil Medvedev holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 70.9 points. The rating baseline converts to 60.1% for Daniil Medvedev and 39.9% for Tommy Paul before any separate market or contextual assessment.

Hard-court matchup factors

Tommy Paul enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (84.5% versus 84.4%). Daniil Medvedev has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (28.2% versus 24.7%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.