Shanghai · HARD

Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud prediction

16 October 2026 · Live

Rafael Jodar — Flashscore photo

Rafael Jodar

ESP

Age 20

Overall Elo
1971.0
Hard Elo
1887.4
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Casper Ruud — Flashscore photo

Casper Ruud

NOR

Age 27

Overall Elo
1937.0
Hard Elo
1852.4
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH PREDICTION RESEARCH

Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud prediction, H2H and odds

Rafael Jodar faces Casper Ruud at Shanghai on 16 October 2026. This page compares current-year form, hard-court Elo, verified H2H information and available odds of 1.78 and 2.09.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud statistical comparison

Rafael Jodar and Casper Ruud are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD44–18Rafael Jodar
RECENT FORM3–1Rafael Jodar · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM3–1Casper Ruud · last 5
2026 RECORD30–18Casper Ruud
Rafael Jodar1887.4hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP35.0between the players
Casper Ruud1852.4hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Rafael Jodar1.78Market odds
Casper Ruud2.09Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Rafael Jodar recent form

  1. –(12) Jodar vs Botic Van De Zandschulp [NED]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R16—
  2. W(12) Jodar d. (22) Jiri Lehecka [CZE]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R324-6 7-6(2) 6-4
  3. W(12) Jodar d. Thiago Agustin Tirante [ARG]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R644-6 6-2 6-3
  4. L(Q) Adolfo Daniel Vallejo [PAR] d. (4) Jodar30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R326-1 6-3
  5. WJodar d. Alexander Bublik [KAZ]25-Sep-2026 · Laver Cup · Hard · RR6-2 6-3
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Casper Ruud recent form

  1. –(20) Ruud vs (4) Felix Auger Aliassime [CAN]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R16—
  2. W(20) Ruud d. (14) Learner Tien [USA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R326-4 7-6(3)
  3. W(20) Ruud d. (WC) Bu Yunchaokete [CHN]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-1 7-6(2)
  4. LLuciano Darderi [ITA] d. (6) Ruud30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R327-6(3) 6-3
  5. WRuud d. Francisco Cerundolo [ARG]25-Sep-2026 · Laver Cup · Hard · RR6-7(4) 6-4 [10-8]
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud statistical comparison

Rafael Jodar has a 71.0% win rate across 62 2026 matches. Casper Ruud has a 62.5% win rate across 48 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Rafael Jodar is 3–1 and Casper Ruud is 3–1. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Rafael Jodar records 81.3% of service games held and 63.8% of service points won. Casper Ruud records 86.0% of service games held and 66.5% of service points won.

On return, Rafael Jodar records 28.6% of return games broken and 40.2% of return points won. Casper Ruud records 22.2% of return games broken and 37.3% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 5.4% for Rafael Jodar and 8.0% for Casper Ruud.

Rafael Jodar holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 35.0 points. The rating baseline converts to 55.0% for Rafael Jodar and 45.0% for Casper Ruud before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Casper Ruud enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (86.0% versus 81.3%). Rafael Jodar has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (28.6% versus 22.2%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.