Almaty · HARD

Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin prediction

17 October 2026 · 11:00

Luka Pavlovic — Flashscore photo

Luka Pavlovic

FRA

Age 26

Overall Elo
1505.0
Hard Elo
1469.0
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
IS

Ilia Simakin

RUS

Age 22

Flashscore photo unavailable.

Overall Elo
1667.0
Hard Elo
1675.1
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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MATCH PREDICTION RESEARCH

Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin prediction, H2H and odds

Luka Pavlovic faces Ilia Simakin at Almaty on 17 October 2026 at 11:00. This page compares current-year form, hard-court Elo, verified H2H information and available odds of 2.23 and 1.55.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin statistical comparison

Luka Pavlovic and Ilia Simakin are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD18–19Luka Pavlovic
RECENT FORM2–3Luka Pavlovic · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM3–2Ilia Simakin · last 5
2026 RECORD36–16Ilia Simakin
Luka Pavlovic1469.0hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP206.1between the players
Ilia Simakin1675.1hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Luka Pavlovic2.23Market odds
Ilia Simakin1.55Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Luka Pavlovic recent form

  1. L(8) Mattia Bellucci [ITA] d. (Q) Pavlovic12-Oct-2026 · Jinan CH · Hard · R166-4 6-4
  2. W(Q) Pavlovic d. Tristan Schoolkate [AUS]12-Oct-2026 · Jinan CH · Hard · R327-5 6-4
  3. W(2) Pavlovic d. (Alt) Thomas Fancutt [AUS]12-Oct-2026 · Jinan CH · Hard · Q17-5 6-3
  4. L(24) Ilia Simakin [RUS] d. Pavlovic07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · Q14-6 6-4 6-1
  5. L(2) Alexandre Muller [FRA] d. Pavlovic23-Sep-2026 · Chengdu · Hard · Q16-4 6-7(6) 6-3
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Ilia Simakin recent form

  1. L(5) Martin Landaluce [ESP] d. Simakin12-Oct-2026 · Jinan CH · Hard · R326-3 6-3
  2. LCamilo Ugo Carabelli [ARG] d. (Q) Simakin07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1282-6 6-2 7-5
  3. W(24) Simakin d. (WC) Rigele Te [CHN]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · Q26-3 6-2
  4. W(24) Simakin d. Luka Pavlovic [FRA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · Q14-6 6-4 6-1
  5. W(4) Simakin d. (3) Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez [MEX]14-Sep-2026 · Phan Thiet 4 CH · Hard · F6-7(4) 6-4 6-3
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin statistical comparison

Luka Pavlovic has a 48.6% win rate across 37 2026 matches. Ilia Simakin has a 69.2% win rate across 52 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Luka Pavlovic is 2–3 and Ilia Simakin is 3–2. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Luka Pavlovic records 79.7% of service games held and 63.5% of service points won. Ilia Simakin records 81.8% of service games held and 64.9% of service points won.

On return, Luka Pavlovic records 18.7% of return games broken and 34.4% of return points won. Ilia Simakin records 25.6% of return games broken and 39.1% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 12.5% for Luka Pavlovic and 9.0% for Ilia Simakin.

Ilia Simakin holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 206.1 points. The rating baseline converts to 23.4% for Luka Pavlovic and 76.6% for Ilia Simakin before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Ilia Simakin enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (81.8% versus 79.7%). Ilia Simakin has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (25.6% versus 18.7%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.