Jinan · HARD

Mattia Bellucci vs Shintaro Mochizuki prediction

17 October 2026 · 09:30

Mattia Bellucci — Flashscore photo

Mattia Bellucci

ITA

Age 25

Overall Elo
1714.0
Hard Elo
1666.2
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Shintaro Mochizuki — Flashscore photo

Shintaro Mochizuki

JPN

Age 23

Overall Elo
1560.0
Hard Elo
1497.4
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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MATCH PREDICTION RESEARCH

Mattia Bellucci vs Shintaro Mochizuki prediction, H2H and odds

Mattia Bellucci faces Shintaro Mochizuki at Jinan on 17 October 2026 at 09:30. This page compares current-year form, hard-court Elo, verified H2H information and available odds of 1.34 and 2.99.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Mattia Bellucci vs Shintaro Mochizuki statistical comparison

Mattia Bellucci and Shintaro Mochizuki are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD24–26Mattia Bellucci
RECENT FORM3–1Mattia Bellucci · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM3–1Shintaro Mochizuki · last 5
2026 RECORD13–21Shintaro Mochizuki
Mattia Bellucci1666.2hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP168.8between the players
Shintaro Mochizuki1497.4hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Mattia Bellucci vs Shintaro Mochizuki

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Mattia Bellucci1.34Market odds
Shintaro Mochizuki2.99Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Mattia Bellucci recent form

  1. –(8) Bellucci vs Alexander Shevchenko [KAZ]12-Oct-2026 · Jinan CH · Hard · QF—
  2. W(8) Bellucci d. (Q) Luka Pavlovic [FRA]12-Oct-2026 · Jinan CH · Hard · R166-4 6-4
  3. W(8) Bellucci d. (Alt) Elias Ymer [SWE]12-Oct-2026 · Jinan CH · Hard · R326-2 6-1
  4. L(WC) Yi Zhou [CHN] d. (Q) Bellucci07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1286-4 3-6 7-6(4)
  5. W(5) Bellucci d. (19) Alexandre Muller [FRA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · Q26-4 6-2
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Shintaro Mochizuki recent form

  1. –Mochizuki vs (Q) Yosuke Watanuki [JPN]12-Oct-2026 · Jinan CH · Hard · QF—
  2. WMochizuki d. Dane Sweeny [AUS]12-Oct-2026 · Jinan CH · Hard · R166-3 7-6(5)
  3. WMochizuki d. (4) Facundo Diaz Acosta [ARG]12-Oct-2026 · Jinan CH · Hard · R326-2 7-6(6)
  4. L(2) Roman Safiullin [RUS] d. (15) Mochizuki07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · Q26-2 6-3
  5. W(15) Mochizuki d. Taro Daniel [JPN]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · Q12-6 6-2 6-2
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Mattia Bellucci vs Shintaro Mochizuki statistical comparison

Mattia Bellucci has a 48.0% win rate across 50 2026 matches. Shintaro Mochizuki has a 38.2% win rate across 34 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Mattia Bellucci is 3–1 and Shintaro Mochizuki is 3–1. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Mattia Bellucci records 80.8% of service games held and 63.9% of service points won. Shintaro Mochizuki records 66.7% of service games held and 57.4% of service points won.

On return, Mattia Bellucci records 20.0% of return games broken and 36.0% of return points won. Shintaro Mochizuki records 26.6% of return games broken and 40.0% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 8.1% for Mattia Bellucci and 3.9% for Shintaro Mochizuki.

Mattia Bellucci holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 168.8 points. The rating baseline converts to 72.5% for Mattia Bellucci and 27.5% for Shintaro Mochizuki before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Mattia Bellucci enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (80.8% versus 66.7%). Shintaro Mochizuki has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (26.6% versus 20.0%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Mattia Bellucci vs Shintaro Mochizuki prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Mattia Bellucci vs Shintaro Mochizuki H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.