Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev prediction

Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev statistical comparison

Rafael Jodar has a 71.0% win rate across 62 2026 matches. Daniil Medvedev has a 71.4% win rate across 63 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Rafael Jodar is 3–1 and Daniil Medvedev is 3–1. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Rafael Jodar records 81.3% of service games held and 63.8% of service points won. Daniil Medvedev records 84.4% of service games held and 65.7% of service points won.

On return, Rafael Jodar records 28.6% of return games broken and 40.2% of return points won. Daniil Medvedev records 28.2% of return games broken and 40.7% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 5.4% for Rafael Jodar and 11.6% for Daniil Medvedev.

Daniil Medvedev holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 55.7 points. The rating baseline converts to 42.1% for Rafael Jodar and 57.9% for Daniil Medvedev before any separate market or contextual assessment.

Hard-court matchup factors

Daniil Medvedev enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (84.4% versus 81.3%). Rafael Jodar has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (28.6% versus 28.2%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.