Lyon · HARD

Pierre Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez prediction

20 October 2026 · 12:00

Pierre Hugues Herbert — Flashscore photo

Pierre Hugues Herbert

FRA

Age 35

Overall Elo
1552.0
Hard Elo
1536.4
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Sebastian Baez — Flashscore photo

Sebastian Baez

ARG

Age 25

Overall Elo
1743.0
Hard Elo
1688.8
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH PREDICTION RESEARCH

Pierre Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez prediction, H2H and odds

Pierre Hugues Herbert faces Sebastian Baez at Lyon on 20 October 2026 at 12:00. This page compares current-year form, hard-court Elo, verified H2H information and available odds of 1.69 and 2.17.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Pierre Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez statistical comparison

Pierre Hugues Herbert and Sebastian Baez are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD8–12Pierre Hugues Herbert
RECENT FORM2–2Pierre Hugues Herbert · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM1–4Sebastian Baez · last 5
2026 RECORD34–26Sebastian Baez
Pierre Hugues Herbert1536.4hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP152.4between the players
Sebastian Baez1688.8hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Pierre Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Pierre Hugues Herbert1.69Market odds
Sebastian Baez2.17Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Pierre Hugues Herbert recent form

  1. –(WC) Herbert vs Maxim Mrva [CZE]19-Oct-2026 · Lyon · Hard · Q2—
  2. W(WC) Herbert d. (4) Jurij Rodionov [AUT]19-Oct-2026 · Lyon · Hard · Q16-7(5) 7-5 6-0
  3. L(1) Hugo Gaston [FRA] d. Herbert12-Oct-2026 · Roanne CH · Hard · R163-6 6-3 6-4
  4. WHerbert d. (Q) Norbert Gombos [SVK]12-Oct-2026 · Roanne CH · Hard · R326-3 6-2
  5. L(WC) Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg [FRA] d. Herbert28-Sep-2026 · Mouilleron le Captif CH · Hard · R326-4 7-5
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Sebastian Baez recent form

  1. L(17) Valentin Vacherot [MON] d. Baez07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · R646-4 7-6(5)
  2. WBaez d. Marcos Giron [USA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · R1281-6 6-3 6-4
  3. L(WC) Juncheng Shang [CHN] d. Baez30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · R325-7 6-3 7-5
  4. LJenson Brooksby [USA] d. (8) Baez23-Sep-2026 · Chengdu · Hard · R327-5 7-5
  5. L(16) Brandon Nakashima [USA] d. Baez31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R1286-2 6-1 6-0
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Pierre Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez statistical comparison

Pierre Hugues Herbert has a 40.0% win rate across 20 2026 matches. Sebastian Baez has a 56.7% win rate across 60 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Pierre Hugues Herbert is 2–2 and Sebastian Baez is 1–4. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Pierre Hugues Herbert records 79.6% of service games held and 63.5% of service points won. Sebastian Baez records 75.0% of service games held and 61.6% of service points won.

On return, Pierre Hugues Herbert records 20.6% of return games broken and 36.1% of return points won. Sebastian Baez records 25.7% of return games broken and 38.7% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 9.2% for Pierre Hugues Herbert and 2.7% for Sebastian Baez.

Sebastian Baez holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 152.4 points. The rating baseline converts to 29.4% for Pierre Hugues Herbert and 70.6% for Sebastian Baez before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Pierre Hugues Herbert enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (79.6% versus 75.0%). Sebastian Baez has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (25.7% versus 20.6%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Pierre Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Pierre Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.