Almaty · HARD

Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev prediction

21 October 2026 · 11:30

Adrian Mannarino — Flashscore photo

Adrian Mannarino

FRA

Age 38

Overall Elo
1694.0
Hard Elo
1664.0
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Andrey Rublev — Flashscore photo

Andrey Rublev

RUS

Age 29

Overall Elo
1880.0
Hard Elo
1829.1
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH PREDICTION RESEARCH

Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev prediction, H2H and odds

Adrian Mannarino faces Andrey Rublev at Almaty on 21 October 2026 at 11:30. This page compares current-year form, hard-court Elo, verified H2H information and available odds of 3.69 and 1.30.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev statistical comparison

Adrian Mannarino and Andrey Rublev are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD21–32Adrian Mannarino
RECENT FORM3–1Adrian Mannarino · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM2–2Andrey Rublev · last 5
2026 RECORD33–21Andrey Rublev
Adrian Mannarino1664.0hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP165.1between the players
Andrey Rublev1829.1hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Adrian Mannarino3.69Market odds
Andrey Rublev1.30Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Adrian Mannarino recent form

  1. –Mannarino vs (4) Andrey Rublev [RUS]19-Oct-2026 · Almaty · Hard · R16—
  2. WMannarino d. Aleksandar Vukic [AUS]19-Oct-2026 · Almaty · Hard · R327-6(4) 4-6 6-3
  3. L(26) Karen Khachanov [RUS] d. Mannarino07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · R326-2 6-4
  4. WMannarino d. (6) Flavio Cobolli [ITA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · R646-1 4-6 6-3
  5. WMannarino d. (Q) Nikoloz Basilashvili [GEO]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · R1286-3 2-2 RET
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Andrey Rublev recent form

  1. –(4) Rublev vs Adrian Mannarino [FRA]19-Oct-2026 · Almaty · Hard · R16—
  2. L(Q) Rei Sakamoto [JPN] d. (23) Rublev07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · R646-4 6-4
  3. L(5) Alex De Minaur [AUS] d. Rublev30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · QF1-6 6-2 6-3
  4. WRublev d. (SE) Roman Safiullin [RUS]30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · R166-2 3-6 6-4
  5. WRublev d. Tallon Griekspoor [NED]30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · R326-4 5-7 7-6(6)
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev statistical comparison

Adrian Mannarino has a 39.6% win rate across 53 2026 matches. Andrey Rublev has a 61.1% win rate across 54 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Adrian Mannarino is 3–1 and Andrey Rublev is 2–2. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Adrian Mannarino records 75.8% of service games held and 62.7% of service points won. Andrey Rublev records 84.6% of service games held and 66.7% of service points won.

On return, Adrian Mannarino records 18.5% of return games broken and 35.0% of return points won. Andrey Rublev records 22.0% of return games broken and 37.1% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 6.3% for Adrian Mannarino and 10.0% for Andrey Rublev.

Andrey Rublev holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 165.1 points. The rating baseline converts to 27.9% for Adrian Mannarino and 72.1% for Andrey Rublev before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Andrey Rublev enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (84.6% versus 75.8%). Andrey Rublev has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (22.0% versus 18.5%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.