Almaty · HARD

Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro prediction

21 October 2026 · 08:00

Daniil Medvedev — Flashscore photo

Daniil Medvedev

RUS

Age 30

Overall Elo
1980.0
Hard Elo
1954.7
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Sho Shimabukuro — Flashscore photo

Sho Shimabukuro

JPN

Age 29

Overall Elo
1599.0
Hard Elo
1543.1
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH PREDICTION RESEARCH

Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro prediction, H2H and odds

Daniil Medvedev faces Sho Shimabukuro at Almaty on 21 October 2026 at 08:00. This page compares current-year form, hard-court Elo, verified H2H information and available odds of 1.08 and 8.90.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro statistical comparison

Daniil Medvedev and Sho Shimabukuro are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD47–18Daniil Medvedev
RECENT FORM4–1Daniil Medvedev · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM1–3Sho Shimabukuro · last 5
2026 RECORD17–25Sho Shimabukuro
Daniil Medvedev1954.7hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP411.6between the players
Sho Shimabukuro1543.1hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Daniil Medvedev1.08Market odds
Sho Shimabukuro8.90Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Daniil Medvedev recent form

  1. L(12) Rafael Jodar [ESP] d. (5) Medvedev07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · SF6-3 6-4
  2. W(5) Medvedev d. (15) Tommy Paul [USA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · QF6-3 1-6 6-3
  3. W(5) Medvedev d. Stefanos Tsitsipas [GRE]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · R166-4 7-5
  4. W(5) Medvedev d. (Q) Dalibor Svrcina [CZE]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · R326-2 6-3
  5. W(5) Medvedev d. Jan Lennard Struff [GER]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · R644-6 6-4 6-3
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Sho Shimabukuro recent form

  1. –Shimabukuro vs (Q) Roman Safiullin [RUS]19-Oct-2026 · Almaty · Hard · R32—
  2. LMiomir Kecmanovic [SRB] d. (WC) Shimabukuro07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · R1286-2 6-4
  3. LDenis Shapovalov [CAN] d. (WC) Shimabukuro30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R327-5 6-1
  4. LHugo Gaston [FRA] d. Shimabukuro23-Sep-2026 · Hangzhou · Hard · R326-4 6-4
  5. WShimabukuro d. James Watt [NZL]19-Sep-2026 · Davis Cup WG1 R1: JPN vs NZL · Hard · RR3-6 6-3 6-4
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro statistical comparison

Daniil Medvedev has a 72.3% win rate across 65 2026 matches. Sho Shimabukuro has a 40.5% win rate across 42 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Daniil Medvedev is 4–1 and Sho Shimabukuro is 1–3. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Daniil Medvedev records 84.1% of service games held and 65.5% of service points won. Sho Shimabukuro records 76.0% of service games held and 62.0% of service points won.

On return, Daniil Medvedev records 28.0% of return games broken and 40.7% of return points won. Sho Shimabukuro records 17.7% of return games broken and 34.3% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 11.7% for Daniil Medvedev and 8.5% for Sho Shimabukuro.

Daniil Medvedev holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 411.6 points. The rating baseline converts to 91.4% for Daniil Medvedev and 8.6% for Sho Shimabukuro before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Daniil Medvedev enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (84.1% versus 76.0%). Daniil Medvedev has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (28.0% versus 17.7%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.