Guangzhou · HARD

Keegan Smith vs Fajing Sun prediction

22 October 2026 · Live

KS

Keegan Smith

USA

Age 28

Flashscore photo unavailable.

Overall Elo
1426.0
Hard Elo
1385.3
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
FS

Fajing Sun

CHN

Age 30

Flashscore photo unavailable.

Overall Elo
1460.0
Hard Elo
1437.9
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH PREDICTION RESEARCH

Keegan Smith vs Fajing Sun prediction, H2H and odds

Keegan Smith faces Fajing Sun at Guangzhou on 22 October 2026. This page compares current-year form, hard-court Elo, verified H2H information and available odds of 1.47 and 2.50.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Keegan Smith vs Fajing Sun statistical comparison

Keegan Smith and Fajing Sun are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD24–21Keegan Smith
RECENT FORM2–2Keegan Smith · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM3–1Fajing Sun · last 5
2026 RECORD26–24Fajing Sun
Keegan Smith1385.3hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP52.6between the players
Fajing Sun1437.9hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Keegan Smith vs Fajing Sun

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Keegan Smith1.47Market odds
Fajing Sun2.50Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Keegan Smith recent form

  1. –(7) Smith vs Fajing Sun [CHN]19-Oct-2026 · Guangzhou Nansha CH · Hard · R16—
  2. W(7) Smith d. (Q) Max Purcell [AUS]19-Oct-2026 · Guangzhou Nansha CH · Hard · R326-4 7-6(1)
  3. LHiroki Moriya [JPN] d. (1) Smith05-Oct-2026 · Wuning 3 CH · Hard · R323-6 7-6(5) 6-3
  4. LMitchell Krueger [USA] d. (2) Smith28-Sep-2026 · Columbus CH · Hard · QF6-4 7-6(4)
  5. W(2) Smith d. (WC) Bryce Nakashima [USA]28-Sep-2026 · Columbus CH · Hard · R166-4 3-6 7-5
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Fajing Sun recent form

  1. –Sun vs (7) Keegan Smith [USA]19-Oct-2026 · Guangzhou Nansha CH · Hard · R16—
  2. WSun d. (WC) Qian Sun [CHN]19-Oct-2026 · Guangzhou Nansha CH · Hard · R326-4 6-2
  3. L(Q) Alibek Kachmazov [RUS] d. (6) Sun05-Oct-2026 · Wuning 3 CH · Hard · QF6-3 6-4
  4. W(6) Sun d. Kasidit Samrej [THA]05-Oct-2026 · Wuning 3 CH · Hard · R166-4 7-5
  5. W(6) Sun d. (WC) Aoran Wang [CHN]05-Oct-2026 · Wuning 3 CH · Hard · R326-3 1-0 RET
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Keegan Smith vs Fajing Sun statistical comparison

Keegan Smith has a 53.3% win rate across 45 2026 matches. Fajing Sun has a 52.0% win rate across 50 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Keegan Smith is 2–2 and Fajing Sun is 3–1. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Keegan Smith records 84.9% of service games held and 66.9% of service points won. Fajing Sun records 80.0% of service games held and 63.9% of service points won.

On return, Keegan Smith records 16.7% of return games broken and 34.8% of return points won. Fajing Sun records 22.7% of return games broken and 37.4% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 9.8% for Keegan Smith and 5.3% for Fajing Sun.

Fajing Sun holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 52.6 points. The rating baseline converts to 42.5% for Keegan Smith and 57.5% for Fajing Sun before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Keegan Smith enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (84.9% versus 80.0%). Fajing Sun has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (22.7% versus 16.7%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Keegan Smith vs Fajing Sun prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Keegan Smith vs Fajing Sun H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.