Almaty · HARD

Alexander Bublik vs Karen Khachanov prediction

23 October 2026 · 16:30

Alexander Bublik — Flashscore photo

Alexander Bublik

KAZ

Age 29

Overall Elo
1891.0
Hard Elo
1836.8
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Karen Khachanov — Flashscore photo

Karen Khachanov

RUS

Age 30

Overall Elo
1858.0
Hard Elo
1810.4
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH PREDICTION RESEARCH

Alexander Bublik vs Karen Khachanov prediction, H2H and odds

Alexander Bublik faces Karen Khachanov at Almaty on 23 October 2026 at 16:30. This page compares current-year form, hard-court Elo, verified H2H information and available odds of 1.76 and 2.11.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Alexander Bublik vs Karen Khachanov statistical comparison

Alexander Bublik and Karen Khachanov are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD31–22Alexander Bublik
RECENT FORM3–1Alexander Bublik · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM3–1Karen Khachanov · last 5
2026 RECORD27–22Karen Khachanov
Alexander Bublik1836.8hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP26.4between the players
Karen Khachanov1810.4hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Alexander Bublik vs Karen Khachanov

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Alexander Bublik1.76Market odds
Karen Khachanov2.11Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Alexander Bublik recent form

  1. –(3) Bublik vs (5) Karen Khachanov [RUS]19-Oct-2026 · Almaty · Hard · QF—
  2. W(3) Bublik d. Fabian Marozsan [HUN]19-Oct-2026 · Almaty · Hard · R16W/O
  3. L(1) Alexander Zverev [GER] d. (19) Bublik07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · R167-6(6) 4-6 7-6(1)
  4. W(19) Bublik d. (16) Brandon Nakashima [USA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · R326-7(7) 6-3 7-6(5)
  5. W(19) Bublik d. Tomas Machac [CZE]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · R646-4 7-6(4)
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Karen Khachanov recent form

  1. –(5) Khachanov vs (3) Alexander Bublik [KAZ]19-Oct-2026 · Almaty · Hard · QF—
  2. W(5) Khachanov d. Tomas Machac [CZE]19-Oct-2026 · Almaty · Hard · R166-2 4-6 7-6(7)
  3. W(5) Khachanov d. (Q) Rei Sakamoto [JPN]19-Oct-2026 · Almaty · Hard · R326-2 6-4
  4. L(9) Alex De Minaur [AUS] d. (26) Khachanov07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · R166-3 6-4
  5. W(26) Khachanov d. Adrian Mannarino [FRA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · R326-2 6-4
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Alexander Bublik vs Karen Khachanov statistical comparison

Alexander Bublik has a 58.5% win rate across 53 2026 matches. Karen Khachanov has a 55.1% win rate across 49 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Alexander Bublik is 3–1 and Karen Khachanov is 3–1. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Alexander Bublik records 86.9% of service games held and 68.3% of service points won. Karen Khachanov records 87.3% of service games held and 68.0% of service points won.

On return, Alexander Bublik records 15.6% of return games broken and 33.3% of return points won. Karen Khachanov records 20.2% of return games broken and 35.9% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 14.3% for Alexander Bublik and 9.4% for Karen Khachanov.

Alexander Bublik holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 26.4 points. The rating baseline converts to 53.8% for Alexander Bublik and 46.2% for Karen Khachanov before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Karen Khachanov enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (87.3% versus 86.9%). Karen Khachanov has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (20.2% versus 15.6%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Alexander Bublik vs Karen Khachanov prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Alexander Bublik vs Karen Khachanov H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.