Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul prediction

Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul statistical comparison

Corentin Moutet has a 36.4% win rate across 33 2026 matches. Tommy Paul has a 68.3% win rate across 63 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Corentin Moutet is 2–2 and Tommy Paul is 3–1. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Corentin Moutet records 72.7% of service games held and 60.1% of service points won. Tommy Paul records 84.7% of service games held and 66.7% of service points won.

On return, Corentin Moutet records 23.6% of return games broken and 38.4% of return points won. Tommy Paul records 24.4% of return games broken and 38.2% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 3.9% for Corentin Moutet and 8.4% for Tommy Paul.

Tommy Paul holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 192.2 points. The rating baseline converts to 24.9% for Corentin Moutet and 75.1% for Tommy Paul before any separate market or contextual assessment.

Hard-court matchup factors

Tommy Paul enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (84.7% versus 72.7%). Tommy Paul has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (24.4% versus 23.6%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.