Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta prediction

Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta statistical comparison

Jacob Fearnley has a 54.3% win rate across 46 2026 matches. Pablo Carreno Busta has a 54.8% win rate across 42 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Jacob Fearnley is 3–2 and Pablo Carreno Busta is 3–2. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Jacob Fearnley records 74.2% of service games held and 61.3% of service points won. Pablo Carreno Busta records 75.7% of service games held and 61.6% of service points won.

On return, Jacob Fearnley records 29.9% of return games broken and 40.9% of return points won. Pablo Carreno Busta records 25.5% of return games broken and 38.5% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 6.0% for Jacob Fearnley and 3.6% for Pablo Carreno Busta.

Pablo Carreno Busta holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 57.4 points. The rating baseline converts to 41.8% for Jacob Fearnley and 58.2% for Pablo Carreno Busta before any separate market or contextual assessment.

Hard-court matchup factors

Pablo Carreno Busta enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (75.7% versus 74.2%). Jacob Fearnley has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (29.9% versus 25.5%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.