Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Bublik prediction

Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Bublik statistical comparison

Daniil Medvedev has a 71.6% win rate across 67 2026 matches. Alexander Bublik has a 58.5% win rate across 53 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Daniil Medvedev is 3–1 and Alexander Bublik is 3–1. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Daniil Medvedev records 84.3% of service games held and 65.6% of service points won. Alexander Bublik records 86.9% of service games held and 68.3% of service points won.

On return, Daniil Medvedev records 28.3% of return games broken and 40.8% of return points won. Alexander Bublik records 15.6% of return games broken and 33.3% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 11.7% for Daniil Medvedev and 14.3% for Alexander Bublik.

Daniil Medvedev holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 117.9 points. The rating baseline converts to 66.3% for Daniil Medvedev and 33.7% for Alexander Bublik before any separate market or contextual assessment.

Hard-court matchup factors

Alexander Bublik enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (86.9% versus 84.3%). Daniil Medvedev has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (28.3% versus 15.6%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.