Lyon · HARD

Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz prediction

25 October 2026 · 14:00

Tommy Paul — Flashscore photo

Tommy Paul

USA

Age 29

Overall Elo
1948.0
Hard Elo
1885.8
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Taylor Fritz — Flashscore photo

Taylor Fritz

USA

Age 28

Overall Elo
1930.0
Hard Elo
1861.1
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH PREDICTION RESEARCH

Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz prediction, H2H and odds

Tommy Paul faces Taylor Fritz at Lyon on 25 October 2026 at 14:00. This page compares current-year form, hard-court Elo, verified H2H information and market information when available.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz statistical comparison

Tommy Paul and Taylor Fritz are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD43–20Tommy Paul
RECENT FORM3–1Tommy Paul · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM2–2Taylor Fritz · last 5
2026 RECORD35–20Taylor Fritz
Tommy Paul1885.8hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP24.7between the players
Taylor Fritz1861.1hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Tommy PaulPendingMarket odds
Taylor FritzPendingMarket odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Tommy Paul recent form

  1. –(4) Paul vs Corentin Moutet [FRA]19-Oct-2026 · Lyon · Hard · QF—
  2. W(4) Paul d. Benjamin Bonzi [FRA]19-Oct-2026 · Lyon · Hard · R166-4 6-7(4) 6-3
  3. L(5) Daniil Medvedev [RUS] d. (15) Paul07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · QF6-3 1-6 6-3
  4. W(15) Paul d. Zizou Bergs [BEL]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · R167-6(5) 6-4
  5. W(15) Paul d. (17) Valentin Vacherot [MON]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · R326-4 6-2
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Taylor Fritz recent form

  1. –(2) Fritz vs Daniel Altmaier [GER]19-Oct-2026 · Lyon · Hard · QF—
  2. W(2) Fritz d. (Q) Pierre Hugues Herbert [FRA]19-Oct-2026 · Lyon · Hard · R166-2 7-5
  3. LStefanos Tsitsipas [GRE] d. (11) Fritz07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · R323-6 7-5 6-3
  4. W(11) Fritz d. Matteo Arnaldi [ITA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · R647-5 6-4
  5. L(Q) Jaume Munar [ESP] d. (3) Fritz30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R326-7(7) 6-4 6-3
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz statistical comparison

Tommy Paul has a 68.3% win rate across 63 2026 matches. Taylor Fritz has a 63.6% win rate across 55 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Tommy Paul is 3–1 and Taylor Fritz is 2–2. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Tommy Paul records 84.7% of service games held and 66.7% of service points won. Taylor Fritz records 89.3% of service games held and 70.8% of service points won.

On return, Tommy Paul records 24.4% of return games broken and 38.2% of return points won. Taylor Fritz records 15.9% of return games broken and 34.8% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 8.4% for Tommy Paul and 17.2% for Taylor Fritz.

Tommy Paul holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 24.7 points. The rating baseline converts to 53.5% for Tommy Paul and 46.5% for Taylor Fritz before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Taylor Fritz enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (89.3% versus 84.7%). Tommy Paul has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (24.4% versus 15.9%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Tommy Paul vs Taylor Fritz H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.