Almaty · HARD

Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili prediction

26 October 2026 · 12:00

Daniil Medvedev — Flashscore photo

Daniil Medvedev

RUS

Age 30

Overall Elo
1980.0
Hard Elo
1954.7
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Nikoloz Basilashvili — Flashscore photo

Nikoloz Basilashvili

GEO

Age 34

Overall Elo
1637.0
Hard Elo
1603.3
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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MATCH PREDICTION RESEARCH

Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili prediction, H2H and odds

Daniil Medvedev faces Nikoloz Basilashvili at Almaty on 26 October 2026 at 12:00. This page compares current-year form, hard-court Elo, verified H2H information and available odds of 1.25 and 4.16.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili statistical comparison

Daniil Medvedev and Nikoloz Basilashvili are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD49–19Daniil Medvedev
RECENT FORM3–1Daniil Medvedev · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM4–0Nikoloz Basilashvili · last 5
2026 RECORD14–18Nikoloz Basilashvili
Daniil Medvedev1954.7hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP351.4between the players
Nikoloz Basilashvili1603.3hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Daniil Medvedev1.25Market odds
Nikoloz Basilashvili4.16Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Daniil Medvedev recent form

  1. –(1) Medvedev vs (3) Alexander Bublik [KAZ]19-Oct-2026 · Almaty · Hard · SF—
  2. W(1) Medvedev d. Terence Atmane [FRA]19-Oct-2026 · Almaty · Hard · QF6-4 6-4
  3. W(1) Medvedev d. Sho Shimabukuro [JPN]19-Oct-2026 · Almaty · Hard · R166-2 6-1
  4. L(12) Rafael Jodar [ESP] d. (5) Medvedev07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · SF6-3 6-4
  5. W(5) Medvedev d. (15) Tommy Paul [USA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · QF6-3 1-6 6-3
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Nikoloz Basilashvili recent form

  1. –(Q) Basilashvili vs (7) Stefanos Tsitsipas [GRE]19-Oct-2026 · Almaty · Hard · SF—
  2. W(Q) Basilashvili d. Adrian Mannarino [FRA]19-Oct-2026 · Almaty · Hard · QF6-3 6-1
  3. W(Q) Basilashvili d. Facundo Diaz Acosta [ARG]19-Oct-2026 · Almaty · Hard · R166-2 6-4
  4. W(Q) Basilashvili d. Marin Cilic [CRO]19-Oct-2026 · Almaty · Hard · R326-2 7-5
  5. W(5) Basilashvili d. (2) Adam Walton [AUS]19-Oct-2026 · Almaty · Hard · Q26-4 7-6(4)
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili statistical comparison

Daniil Medvedev has a 72.1% win rate across 68 2026 matches. Nikoloz Basilashvili has a 43.8% win rate across 32 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Daniil Medvedev is 3–1 and Nikoloz Basilashvili is 4–0. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Daniil Medvedev records 84.5% of service games held and 65.8% of service points won. Nikoloz Basilashvili records 78.7% of service games held and 62.6% of service points won.

On return, Daniil Medvedev records 28.2% of return games broken and 40.8% of return points won. Nikoloz Basilashvili records 19.6% of return games broken and 35.9% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 11.7% for Daniil Medvedev and 11.5% for Nikoloz Basilashvili.

Daniil Medvedev holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 351.4 points. The rating baseline converts to 88.3% for Daniil Medvedev and 11.7% for Nikoloz Basilashvili before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Daniil Medvedev enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (84.5% versus 78.7%). Daniil Medvedev has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (28.2% versus 19.6%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.