Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley prediction

Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley statistical comparison

Lorenzo Sonego has a 38.7% win rate across 31 2026 matches. Jacob Fearnley has a 54.3% win rate across 46 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Lorenzo Sonego is 1–4 and Jacob Fearnley is 3–2. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Lorenzo Sonego records 81.6% of service games held and 65.9% of service points won. Jacob Fearnley records 74.2% of service games held and 61.3% of service points won.

On return, Lorenzo Sonego records 15.5% of return games broken and 33.4% of return points won. Jacob Fearnley records 29.9% of return games broken and 40.9% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 9.0% for Lorenzo Sonego and 6.0% for Jacob Fearnley.

Jacob Fearnley holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 12.3 points. The rating baseline converts to 48.2% for Lorenzo Sonego and 51.8% for Jacob Fearnley before any separate market or contextual assessment.

Hard-court matchup factors

Lorenzo Sonego enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (81.6% versus 74.2%). Jacob Fearnley has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (29.9% versus 15.5%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.