Brest · HARD

Francesco Maestrelli vs Gabriel Diallo prediction

28 October 2026 · 20:40

Francesco Maestrelli — Flashscore photo

Francesco Maestrelli

ITA

Age 23

Overall Elo
1462.0
Hard Elo
1453.2
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Gabriel Diallo — Flashscore photo

Gabriel Diallo

CAN

Age 25

Overall Elo
1701.0
Hard Elo
1658.3
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH PREDICTION RESEARCH

Francesco Maestrelli vs Gabriel Diallo prediction, H2H and odds

Francesco Maestrelli faces Gabriel Diallo at Brest on 28 October 2026 at 20:40. This page compares current-year form, hard-court Elo, verified H2H information and available odds of 3.35 and 1.28.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Francesco Maestrelli vs Gabriel Diallo statistical comparison

Francesco Maestrelli and Gabriel Diallo are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD13–19Francesco Maestrelli
RECENT FORM2–2Francesco Maestrelli · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM2–2Gabriel Diallo · last 5
2026 RECORD11–20Gabriel Diallo
Francesco Maestrelli1453.2hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP205.1between the players
Gabriel Diallo1658.3hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Francesco Maestrelli vs Gabriel Diallo

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Francesco Maestrelli3.35Market odds
Gabriel Diallo1.28Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Francesco Maestrelli recent form

  1. –Maestrelli vs Gabriel Diallo [CAN]26-Oct-2026 · Brest CH · Hard · R16—
  2. WMaestrelli d. (Q) Moez Echargui [TUN]26-Oct-2026 · Brest CH · Hard · R327-6(3) 6-3
  3. L(6) Borna Gojo [CRO] d. Maestrelli19-Oct-2026 · Lyon · Hard · Q14-6 6-3 7-6(6)
  4. LMaxim Mrva [CZE] d. (8) Maestrelli12-Oct-2026 · Olbia CH · Hard · R166-3 6-4
  5. W(8) Maestrelli d. (Alt) Mili Poljicak [CRO]12-Oct-2026 · Olbia CH · Hard · R326-2 6-3
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Gabriel Diallo recent form

  1. –Diallo vs Francesco Maestrelli [ITA]26-Oct-2026 · Brest CH · Hard · R16—
  2. WDiallo d. (8) Nishesh Basavareddy [USA]26-Oct-2026 · Brest CH · Hard · R326-3 7-5
  3. L(7) Rei Sakamoto [JPN] d. (4) Diallo19-Oct-2026 · Almaty · Hard · Q22-6 6-4 6-4
  4. W(4) Diallo d. Harold Mayot [FRA]19-Oct-2026 · Almaty · Hard · Q17-6(5) 6-2
  5. L(19) Luciano Darderi [ITA] d. (WC) Diallo02-Aug-2026 · Canada Masters · Hard · R646-4 2-3 RET
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Francesco Maestrelli vs Gabriel Diallo statistical comparison

Francesco Maestrelli has a 40.6% win rate across 32 2026 matches. Gabriel Diallo has a 35.5% win rate across 31 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Francesco Maestrelli is 2–2 and Gabriel Diallo is 2–2. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Francesco Maestrelli records 77.8% of service games held and 62.0% of service points won. Gabriel Diallo records 78.9% of service games held and 63.8% of service points won.

On return, Francesco Maestrelli records 20.0% of return games broken and 35.9% of return points won. Gabriel Diallo records 15.5% of return games broken and 32.5% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 8.8% for Francesco Maestrelli and 9.7% for Gabriel Diallo.

Gabriel Diallo holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 205.1 points. The rating baseline converts to 23.5% for Francesco Maestrelli and 76.5% for Gabriel Diallo before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Gabriel Diallo enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (78.9% versus 77.8%). Francesco Maestrelli has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (20.0% versus 15.5%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Francesco Maestrelli vs Gabriel Diallo prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Francesco Maestrelli vs Gabriel Diallo H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.