Ningbo · HARD

Hiroki Moriya vs Mert Alkaya prediction

28 October 2026 · 06:40

FINAL RESULTMert AlkayaWinner1-2
HM

Hiroki Moriya

JPN

Age 36

Flashscore photo unavailable.

Overall Elo
1333.0
Hard Elo
1301.8
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
MA

Mert Alkaya

TUR

Age 26

Flashscore photo unavailable.

Overall Elo
1353.0
Hard Elo
1325.2
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH RESULT AND ANALYSIS

Hiroki Moriya vs Mert Alkaya prediction, H2H and odds

Mert Alkaya won the match with a final score of 1-2. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Hiroki Moriya vs Mert Alkaya statistical comparison

Hiroki Moriya and Mert Alkaya are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD9–12Hiroki Moriya
RECENT FORM3–1Hiroki Moriya · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM1–3Mert Alkaya · last 5
2026 RECORD13–15Mert Alkaya
Hiroki Moriya1301.8hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP23.4between the players
Mert Alkaya1325.2hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Hiroki Moriya vs Mert Alkaya

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Hiroki Moriya2.63Market odds
Mert Alkaya1.46Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Hiroki Moriya recent form

  1. –(Q) Moriya vs Mert Alkaya [TUR]26-Oct-2026 · Ningbo CH · Hard · R16—
  2. W(Q) Moriya d. (7) James Mccabe [AUS]26-Oct-2026 · Ningbo CH · Hard · R326-1 2-6 7-6(1)
  3. W(6) Moriya d. (10) Timofei Derepasko [RUS]26-Oct-2026 · Ningbo CH · Hard · Q27-6(2) 6-2
  4. W(6) Moriya d. Taisei Ichikawa [JPN]26-Oct-2026 · Ningbo CH · Hard · Q16-4 6-4
  5. L(5) Omar Jasika [AUS] d. Moriya19-Oct-2026 · Guangzhou Nansha CH · Hard · Q16-2 6-3
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Mert Alkaya recent form

  1. –Alkaya vs (Q) Hiroki Moriya [JPN]26-Oct-2026 · Ningbo CH · Hard · R16—
  2. WAlkaya d. (WC) Rigele Te [CHN]26-Oct-2026 · Ningbo CH · Hard · R327-6(3) 6-4
  3. L(6) Andre Ilagan [USA] d. Alkaya19-Oct-2026 · Guangzhou Nansha CH · Hard · R326-4 3-6 6-1
  4. LThiago Agustin Tirante [ARG] d. Alkaya19-Sep-2026 · Davis Cup WG1 R1: ARG vs TUR · Hard · RR6-2 6-4
  5. LFrancisco Cerundolo [ARG] d. Alkaya19-Sep-2026 · Davis Cup WG1 R1: ARG vs TUR · Hard · RR6-1 6-0
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Hiroki Moriya vs Mert Alkaya statistical comparison

Hiroki Moriya has a 42.9% win rate across 21 2026 matches. Mert Alkaya has a 46.4% win rate across 28 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Hiroki Moriya is 3–1 and Mert Alkaya is 1–3. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Hiroki Moriya records 74.4% of service games held and 61.3% of service points won. Mert Alkaya records 69.1% of service games held and 55.1% of service points won.

On return, Hiroki Moriya records 23.1% of return games broken and 38.8% of return points won. Mert Alkaya records 22.4% of return games broken and 33.7% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 3.1% for Hiroki Moriya and 7.8% for Mert Alkaya.

Mert Alkaya holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 23.4 points. The rating baseline converts to 46.6% for Hiroki Moriya and 53.4% for Mert Alkaya before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Hiroki Moriya enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (74.4% versus 69.1%). Hiroki Moriya has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (23.1% versus 22.4%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Hiroki Moriya vs Mert Alkaya prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Hiroki Moriya vs Mert Alkaya H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.