Vienna · HARD

Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi prediction

29 October 2026 · 13:30

Tommy Paul — Flashscore photo

Tommy Paul

USA

Age 29

Overall Elo
1947.0
Hard Elo
1885.8
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Luciano Darderi — Flashscore photo

Luciano Darderi

ITA

Age 24

Overall Elo
1803.0
Hard Elo
1703.5
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH PREDICTION RESEARCH

Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi prediction, H2H and odds

Tommy Paul faces Luciano Darderi at Vienna on 29 October 2026 at 13:30. This page compares current-year form, hard-court Elo, verified H2H information and available odds of 1.25 and 4.16.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi statistical comparison

Tommy Paul and Luciano Darderi are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD45–21Tommy Paul
RECENT FORM3–1Tommy Paul · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM1–3Luciano Darderi · last 5
2026 RECORD37–26Luciano Darderi
Tommy Paul1885.8hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP182.3between the players
Luciano Darderi1703.5hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Tommy Paul1.25Market odds
Luciano Darderi4.16Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Tommy Paul recent form

  1. –(7) Paul vs Luciano Darderi [ITA]26-Oct-2026 · Vienna · Hard · R16—
  2. W(7) Paul d. Andrey Rublev [RUS]26-Oct-2026 · Vienna · Hard · R327-5 6-2
  3. L(2) Taylor Fritz [USA] d. (4) Paul19-Oct-2026 · Lyon · Hard · SF6-3 7-5
  4. W(4) Paul d. Corentin Moutet [FRA]19-Oct-2026 · Lyon · Hard · QF6-4 3-6 6-3
  5. W(4) Paul d. Benjamin Bonzi [FRA]19-Oct-2026 · Lyon · Hard · R166-4 6-7(4) 6-3
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Luciano Darderi recent form

  1. –Darderi vs (7) Tommy Paul [USA]26-Oct-2026 · Vienna · Hard · R16—
  2. WDarderi d. Matteo Arnaldi [ITA]26-Oct-2026 · Vienna · Hard · R327-5 6-2
  3. LJames Duckworth [AUS] d. (2) Darderi19-Oct-2026 · Almaty · Hard · R167-5 7-6(7)
  4. LStefanos Tsitsipas [GRE] d. (18) Darderi07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · R646-3 6-4
  5. L(SE) Kyrian Jacquet [FRA] d. Darderi30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R166-3 7-6(5)
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi statistical comparison

Tommy Paul has a 68.2% win rate across 66 2026 matches. Luciano Darderi has a 58.7% win rate across 63 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Tommy Paul is 3–1 and Luciano Darderi is 1–3. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Tommy Paul records 84.5% of service games held and 66.4% of service points won. Luciano Darderi records 78.7% of service games held and 63.1% of service points won.

On return, Tommy Paul records 24.4% of return games broken and 38.3% of return points won. Luciano Darderi records 23.3% of return games broken and 37.5% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 8.2% for Tommy Paul and 7.5% for Luciano Darderi.

Tommy Paul holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 182.3 points. The rating baseline converts to 74.1% for Tommy Paul and 25.9% for Luciano Darderi before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Tommy Paul enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (84.5% versus 78.7%). Tommy Paul has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (24.4% versus 23.3%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.