Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction

Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz statistical comparison

Nikoloz Basilashvili has a 45.7% win rate across 35 2026 matches. Carlos Alcaraz has a 82.9% win rate across 41 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Nikoloz Basilashvili is 3–1 and Carlos Alcaraz is 3–1. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Nikoloz Basilashvili records 79.6% of service games held and 63.3% of service points won. Carlos Alcaraz records 87.0% of service games held and 67.2% of service points won.

On return, Nikoloz Basilashvili records 19.0% of return games broken and 35.7% of return points won. Carlos Alcaraz records 31.4% of return games broken and 42.0% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 10.9% for Nikoloz Basilashvili and 5.5% for Carlos Alcaraz.

Carlos Alcaraz holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 418.8 points. The rating baseline converts to 8.2% for Nikoloz Basilashvili and 91.8% for Carlos Alcaraz before any separate market or contextual assessment.

Hard-court matchup factors

Carlos Alcaraz enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (87.0% versus 79.6%). Carlos Alcaraz has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (31.4% versus 19.0%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.