Paris · HARD

Pablo Carreno Busta vs Mattia Bellucci prediction

1 November 2026 · 11:00

Pablo Carreno Busta — Flashscore photo

Pablo Carreno Busta

ESP

Age 35

Overall Elo
1786.0
Hard Elo
1733.3
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Mattia Bellucci — Flashscore photo

Mattia Bellucci

ITA

Age 25

Overall Elo
1710.0
Hard Elo
1664.5
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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MATCH PREDICTION RESEARCH

Pablo Carreno Busta vs Mattia Bellucci prediction, H2H and odds

Pablo Carreno Busta faces Mattia Bellucci at Paris on 1 November 2026 at 11:00. This page compares current-year form, hard-court Elo, verified H2H information and market information when available.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Pablo Carreno Busta vs Mattia Bellucci statistical comparison

Pablo Carreno Busta and Mattia Bellucci are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD23–19Pablo Carreno Busta
RECENT FORM2–3Pablo Carreno Busta · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM3–2Mattia Bellucci · last 5
2026 RECORD23–26Mattia Bellucci
Pablo Carreno Busta1733.3hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP68.8between the players
Mattia Bellucci1664.5hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Pablo Carreno Busta vs Mattia Bellucci

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Pablo Carreno BustaPendingMarket odds
Mattia BellucciPendingMarket odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Pablo Carreno Busta recent form

  1. LJacob Fearnley [GBR] d. (7) Carreno Busta26-Oct-2026 · Vienna · Hard · Q16-4 3-6 6-3
  2. L(4) Felix Auger Aliassime [CAN] d. Carreno Busta07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · R326-3 4-6 6-1
  3. WCarreno Busta d. (29) Alejandro Tabilo [CHI]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · R644-6 7-6(2) 6-4
  4. WCarreno Busta d. Mariano Navone [ARG]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · R1284-6 7-5 6-3
  5. L(3) Daniil Medvedev [RUS] d. (Q) Carreno Busta30-Sep-2026 · Beijing · Hard · R326-4 6-2
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Mattia Bellucci recent form

  1. LTerence Atmane [FRA] d. Bellucci19-Oct-2026 · Almaty · Hard · R166-7(4) 7-6(2) 7-6(5)
  2. WBellucci d. (6) Tomas Martin Etcheverry [ARG]19-Oct-2026 · Almaty · Hard · R327-6(5) 2-6 6-4
  3. L(WC) Yi Zhou [CHN] d. (Q) Bellucci07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · R1286-4 3-6 7-6(4)
  4. W(5) Bellucci d. (19) Alexandre Muller [FRA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · Q26-4 6-2
  5. W(5) Bellucci d. Elias Ymer [SWE]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · Q14-6 7-5 7-6(3)
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Pablo Carreno Busta vs Mattia Bellucci statistical comparison

Pablo Carreno Busta has a 54.8% win rate across 42 2026 matches. Mattia Bellucci has a 46.9% win rate across 49 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Pablo Carreno Busta is 2–3 and Mattia Bellucci is 3–2. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Pablo Carreno Busta records 75.7% of service games held and 61.6% of service points won. Mattia Bellucci records 81.0% of service games held and 64.3% of service points won.

On return, Pablo Carreno Busta records 25.5% of return games broken and 38.5% of return points won. Mattia Bellucci records 18.4% of return games broken and 35.1% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 3.6% for Pablo Carreno Busta and 8.3% for Mattia Bellucci.

Pablo Carreno Busta holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 68.8 points. The rating baseline converts to 59.8% for Pablo Carreno Busta and 40.2% for Mattia Bellucci before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Mattia Bellucci enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (81.0% versus 75.7%). Pablo Carreno Busta has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (25.5% versus 18.4%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Mattia Bellucci prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Pablo Carreno Busta vs Mattia Bellucci H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.