Cameron Norrie vs Matteo Arnaldi prediction

Cameron Norrie vs Matteo Arnaldi statistical comparison

Cameron Norrie has a 47.8% win rate across 46 2026 matches. Matteo Arnaldi has a 45.7% win rate across 35 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Cameron Norrie is 1–3 and Matteo Arnaldi is 1–3. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Cameron Norrie records 79.9% of service games held and 62.8% of service points won. Matteo Arnaldi records 70.5% of service games held and 59.6% of service points won.

On return, Cameron Norrie records 21.0% of return games broken and 36.6% of return points won. Matteo Arnaldi records 21.8% of return games broken and 37.1% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 5.4% for Cameron Norrie and 5.7% for Matteo Arnaldi.

Cameron Norrie holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 89.2 points. The rating baseline converts to 62.6% for Cameron Norrie and 37.4% for Matteo Arnaldi before any separate market or contextual assessment.

Hard-court matchup factors

Cameron Norrie enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (79.9% versus 70.5%). Matteo Arnaldi has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (21.8% versus 21.0%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.