Tommy Paul
USA
Age 29
Paris · HARD
Tommy Paul vs Daniel Merida Aguilar prediction
4 November 2026 · 12:30
Daniel Merida Aguilar
ESP
Age 22
Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.
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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings
Tommy Paul vs Daniel Merida Aguilar prediction, H2H and odds
Tommy Paul faces Daniel Merida Aguilar at Paris on 4 November 2026 at 12:30. This page compares current-year form, hard-court Elo, verified H2H information and available odds of 1.27 and 3.96.
Tommy Paul vs Daniel Merida Aguilar statistical comparison
Tommy Paul and Daniel Merida Aguilar are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.
Tommy Paul1894.6hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP100.1between the players
Daniel Merida Aguilar1794.5hard Elo
TOMMY PAUL PROFILETommy Paul
View full profileUSA · Age 29 · Right-handed · 185 cm · Rank 14
- Hold
- 84.7%
- Break
- 24.5%
- Aces
- 8.3%
- Return points
- 38.4%
DANIEL MERIDA AGUILAR PROFILEDaniel Merida Aguilar
View full profileESP · Age 22 · Right-handed · 188 cm · Rank 42
- Hold
- 75.7%
- Break
- 31.8%
- Aces
- 4.0%
- Return points
- 41.3%
Market prices for Tommy Paul vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.
Odds and match data updated .
Tommy Paul recent form
- –(12) Paul vs (PR) Holger Rune [DEN]02-Nov-2026 · Paris · Hard · R64—
- L(2) Carlos Alcaraz [ESP] d. (7) Paul26-Oct-2026 · Vienna · Hard · QF6-4 7-6(2)
- W(7) Paul d. Luciano Darderi [ITA]26-Oct-2026 · Vienna · Hard · R166-1 6-1
- W(7) Paul d. Andrey Rublev [RUS]26-Oct-2026 · Vienna · Hard · R327-5 6-2
- L(2) Taylor Fritz [USA] d. (4) Paul19-Oct-2026 · Lyon · Hard · SF6-3 7-5
Daniel Merida Aguilar recent form
- WMerida Aguilar d. (LL) Sebastian Baez [ARG]02-Nov-2026 · Paris · Hard · R646-4 6-2
- L(3) Daniil Medvedev [RUS] d. Merida Aguilar26-Oct-2026 · Vienna · Hard · R327-6(5) 6-1
- LBotic Van De Zandschulp [NED] d. Merida Aguilar07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · R1281-6 6-3 6-4
- WMerida Aguilar d. Alejandro Tabilo [CHI]19-Sep-2026 · Davis Cup QLS R2: ESP vs CHI · Clay · RR5-7 6-3 6-3
- LAlex Michelsen [USA] d. Merida Aguilar31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R327-6(5) 6-4 6-3
Tommy Paul vs Daniel Merida Aguilar statistical comparison
Tommy Paul has a 67.6% win rate across 68 2026 matches. Daniel Merida Aguilar has a 65.4% win rate across 52 matches.
Across the five most recent verified results available, Tommy Paul is 2–2 and Daniel Merida Aguilar is 2–3. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.
Tommy Paul records 84.7% of service games held and 66.6% of service points won. Daniel Merida Aguilar records 75.7% of service games held and 61.3% of service points won.
On return, Tommy Paul records 24.5% of return games broken and 38.4% of return points won. Daniel Merida Aguilar records 31.8% of return games broken and 41.3% of return points won.
The available ace-rate figures are 8.3% for Tommy Paul and 4.0% for Daniel Merida Aguilar.
Tommy Paul holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 100.1 points. The rating baseline converts to 64.0% for Tommy Paul and 36.0% for Daniel Merida Aguilar before any separate market or contextual assessment.
Hard-court matchup factors
Tommy Paul enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (84.7% versus 75.7%). Daniel Merida Aguilar has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (31.8% versus 24.5%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.
Match FAQ
What does the Tommy Paul vs Daniel Merida Aguilar prediction assess?
It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.
What is the Tommy Paul vs Daniel Merida Aguilar H2H record?
CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.
Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?
No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.