Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul prediction

Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul statistical comparison

Ben Shelton has a 68.9% win rate across 61 2026 matches. Tommy Paul has a 68.6% win rate across 70 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Ben Shelton is 2–2 and Tommy Paul is 3–1. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Ben Shelton records 90.1% of service games held and 70.7% of service points won. Tommy Paul records 84.9% of service games held and 66.7% of service points won.

On return, Ben Shelton records 15.3% of return games broken and 33.1% of return points won. Tommy Paul records 24.9% of return games broken and 38.6% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 12.1% for Ben Shelton and 8.5% for Tommy Paul.

Ben Shelton holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 30.4 points. The rating baseline converts to 54.4% for Ben Shelton and 45.6% for Tommy Paul before any separate market or contextual assessment.

Hard-court matchup factors

Ben Shelton enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (90.1% versus 84.9%). Tommy Paul has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (24.9% versus 15.3%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.