Denis Shapovalov
CAN
Age 27
Tokyo · HARD
Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo prediction
3 October 2026 · 04:00
Alejandro Tabilo
CHI
Age 29
Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.
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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings
Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo prediction, H2H and odds
Denis Shapovalov won the match with a final score of 2-1. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.
Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo statistical comparison
Denis Shapovalov and Alejandro Tabilo are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.
Denis Shapovalov1797.8hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP45.0between the players
Alejandro Tabilo1752.8hard Elo
DENIS SHAPOVALOV PROFILEDenis Shapovalov
View full profileCAN · Age 27 · Left-handed · 185 cm · Rank 42
- Hold
- 77.7%
- Break
- 22.8%
- Aces
- 10.1%
- Return points
- 37.2%
ALEJANDRO TABILO PROFILEAlejandro Tabilo
View full profileCHI · Age 29 · Left-handed · 188 cm · Rank 30
- Hold
- 83.3%
- Break
- 20.9%
- Aces
- 7.6%
- Return points
- 36.5%
Market prices for Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo
Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.
Odds and match data updated .
Denis Shapovalov recent form
- L(1) Carlos Alcaraz [ESP] d. Shapovalov30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · QF7-6(3) 2-1 RET
- WShapovalov d. Alejandro Tabilo [CHI]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R167-5 3-6 6-4
- WShapovalov d. (WC) Sho Shimabukuro [JPN]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R327-5 6-1
- L(5) Hubert Hurkacz [POL] d. (7) Shapovalov23-Sep-2026 · Chengdu · Hard · SF6-7(8) 6-3 6-3
- W(7) Shapovalov d. Adrian Mannarino [FRA]23-Sep-2026 · Chengdu · Hard · QF6-7(6) 6-3 6-2
Alejandro Tabilo recent form
- LPablo Carreno Busta [ESP] d. (29) Tabilo07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R644-6 7-6(2) 6-4
- LDenis Shapovalov [CAN] d. Tabilo30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R167-5 3-6 6-4
- WTabilo d. (7) Tommy Paul [USA]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R326-1 6-2
- LAdrian Mannarino [FRA] d. (3) Tabilo23-Sep-2026 · Chengdu · Hard · R166-4 6-4
- LDaniel Merida Aguilar [ESP] d. Tabilo19-Sep-2026 · Davis Cup QLS R2: ESP vs CHI · Clay · RR5-7 6-3 6-3
Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo statistical comparison
Denis Shapovalov has a 51.2% win rate across 41 2026 matches. Alejandro Tabilo has a 57.6% win rate across 66 matches.
Across the five most recent verified results available, Denis Shapovalov is 3–2 and Alejandro Tabilo is 1–4. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.
Denis Shapovalov records 77.7% of service games held and 63.3% of service points won. Alejandro Tabilo records 83.3% of service games held and 66.1% of service points won.
On return, Denis Shapovalov records 22.8% of return games broken and 37.2% of return points won. Alejandro Tabilo records 20.9% of return games broken and 36.5% of return points won.
The available ace-rate figures are 10.1% for Denis Shapovalov and 7.6% for Alejandro Tabilo.
Denis Shapovalov holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 49.2 points. The rating baseline converts to 57.0% for Denis Shapovalov and 43.0% for Alejandro Tabilo before any separate market or contextual assessment.
Hard-court matchup factors
Alejandro Tabilo enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (83.3% versus 77.7%). Denis Shapovalov has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (22.8% versus 20.9%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.
Match FAQ
What does the Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo prediction assess?
It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.
What is the Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo H2H record?
CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.
Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?
No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.