Tokyo · HARD

Matteo Berrettini vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo prediction

3 October 2026 · 09:10

FINAL RESULTAdolfo Daniel VallejoWinner0-2
Matteo Berrettini — Flashscore photo

Matteo Berrettini

ITA

Age 30

Overall Elo
1825.0
Hard Elo
1779.9
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
AD

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

PAR

Age 22

Flashscore photo unavailable.

Overall Elo
1765.0
Hard Elo
1569.7
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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Tennis Abstract · 2 players · Loading ratings

MATCH RESULT AND ANALYSIS

Matteo Berrettini vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo prediction, H2H and odds

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo won the match with a final score of 0-2. The original Elo, H2H and statistical match analysis remains available below.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Matteo Berrettini vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo statistical comparison

Matteo Berrettini and Adolfo Daniel Vallejo are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD21–18Matteo Berrettini
RECENT FORM2–3Matteo Berrettini · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM3–2Adolfo Daniel Vallejo · last 5
2026 RECORD37–20Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Matteo Berrettini1779.9hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP210.2between the players
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo1569.7hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Matteo Berrettini vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Matteo Berrettini1.62Market odds
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo2.39Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Matteo Berrettini recent form

  1. L(16) Brandon Nakashima [USA] d. Berrettini07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R647-6(4) 7-5
  2. WBerrettini d. Aleksandar Kovacevic [USA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1286-7(3) 6-1 6-4
  3. L(Q) Adolfo Daniel Vallejo [PAR] d. Berrettini30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R167-6(6) 6-1
  4. WBerrettini d. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina [ESP]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R321-6 7-6(1) 6-4
  5. LMariano Navone [ARG] d. Berrettini31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R643-6 6-3 6-4 7-6(4)
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo recent form

  1. L(15) Tommy Paul [USA] d. Vallejo07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R646-2 6-2
  2. WVallejo d. Valentin Royer [FRA]07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai · Hard · R1286-3 6-1
  3. LJiri Lehecka [CZE] d. (Q) Vallejo30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · QF6-1 6-1
  4. W(Q) Vallejo d. Matteo Berrettini [ITA]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R167-6(6) 6-1
  5. W(Q) Vallejo d. (4) Rafael Jodar [ESP]30-Sep-2026 · Tokyo · Hard · R326-1 6-3
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Matteo Berrettini vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo statistical comparison

Matteo Berrettini has a 53.8% win rate across 39 2026 matches. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo has a 64.9% win rate across 57 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Matteo Berrettini is 2–3 and Adolfo Daniel Vallejo is 3–2. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Matteo Berrettini records 85.6% of service games held and 68.0% of service points won. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo records 75.7% of service games held and 61.7% of service points won.

On return, Matteo Berrettini records 15.4% of return games broken and 33.7% of return points won. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo records 33.2% of return games broken and 42.1% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 11.2% for Matteo Berrettini and 4.7% for Adolfo Daniel Vallejo.

Matteo Berrettini holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 95.7 points. The rating baseline converts to 63.4% for Matteo Berrettini and 36.6% for Adolfo Daniel Vallejo before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Matteo Berrettini enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (85.6% versus 75.7%). Adolfo Daniel Vallejo has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (33.2% versus 15.4%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Matteo Berrettini vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Matteo Berrettini vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.