Vienna · HARD

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev prediction

27 October 2026 · 10:00

Daniel Merida Aguilar — Flashscore photo

Daniel Merida Aguilar

ESP

Age 22

Overall Elo
1868.0
Hard Elo
1805.8
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Daniil Medvedev — Flashscore photo

Daniil Medvedev

RUS

Age 30

Overall Elo
1995.0
Hard Elo
1969.4
Clay Elo
—
Grass Elo
—
Surface

Estimates, not picks. Form, fitness and match conditions also matter.

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MATCH PREDICTION RESEARCH

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev prediction, H2H and odds

Daniel Merida Aguilar faces Daniil Medvedev at Vienna on 27 October 2026 at 10:00. This page compares current-year form, hard-court Elo, verified H2H information and available odds of 4.06 and 1.26.

STATISTICAL MATCH ANALYSIS

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev statistical comparison

Daniel Merida Aguilar and Daniil Medvedev are compared using verified 2026 records, recent form, hard-court Elo, serve-and-return indicators and head-to-head data where a reliable record is available.

2026 RECORD33–18Daniel Merida Aguilar
RECENT FORM2–2Daniel Merida Aguilar · last 5
H2HNo verified meetingsAvailable record
RECENT FORM4–0Daniil Medvedev · last 5
2026 RECORD51–19Daniil Medvedev
Daniel Merida Aguilar1805.8hard Elo
ABSOLUTE ELO GAP163.6between the players
Daniil Medvedev1969.4hard Elo
MARKET ODDS

Market prices for Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev

Available pre-match bookmaker prices for both players. Market odds can move after this page is updated.

Daniel Merida Aguilar4.06Market odds
Daniil Medvedev1.26Market odds

Odds and match data updated .

LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Daniel Merida Aguilar recent form

  1. –Merida Aguilar vs (3) Daniil Medvedev [RUS]26-Oct-2026 · Vienna · Hard · R32—
  2. LBotic Van De Zandschulp [NED] d. Merida Aguilar07-Oct-2026 · Shanghai Masters · Hard · R1281-6 6-3 6-4
  3. WMerida Aguilar d. Alejandro Tabilo [CHI]19-Sep-2026 · Davis Cup QLS R2: ESP vs CHI · Clay · RR5-7 6-3 6-3
  4. LAlex Michelsen [USA] d. Merida Aguilar31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R327-6(5) 6-4 6-3
  5. WMerida Aguilar d. (23) Andrey Rublev [RUS]31-Aug-2026 · US Open · Hard · R646-7(3) 6-2 6-4 6-4
LAST FIVE VERIFIED RESULTS

Daniil Medvedev recent form

  1. –(3) Medvedev vs Daniel Merida Aguilar [ESP]26-Oct-2026 · Vienna · Hard · R32—
  2. W(1) Medvedev d. (Q) Nikoloz Basilashvili [GEO]19-Oct-2026 · Almaty · Hard · F6-7(6) 6-1 6-3
  3. W(1) Medvedev d. (3) Alexander Bublik [KAZ]19-Oct-2026 · Almaty · Hard · SF6-3 0-0 RET
  4. W(1) Medvedev d. Terence Atmane [FRA]19-Oct-2026 · Almaty · Hard · QF6-4 6-4
  5. W(1) Medvedev d. Sho Shimabukuro [JPN]19-Oct-2026 · Almaty · Hard · R166-2 6-1
IN-DEPTH MATCHUP ANALYSIS

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev statistical comparison

Daniel Merida Aguilar has a 64.7% win rate across 51 2026 matches. Daniil Medvedev has a 72.9% win rate across 70 matches.

Across the five most recent verified results available, Daniel Merida Aguilar is 2–2 and Daniil Medvedev is 4–0. This form sample is descriptive and does not override the scheduled surface or opponent quality.

Daniel Merida Aguilar records 75.6% of service games held and 61.4% of service points won. Daniil Medvedev records 84.9% of service games held and 66.1% of service points won.

On return, Daniel Merida Aguilar records 32.0% of return games broken and 41.4% of return points won. Daniil Medvedev records 28.2% of return games broken and 40.7% of return points won.

The available ace-rate figures are 4.0% for Daniel Merida Aguilar and 12.1% for Daniil Medvedev.

Daniil Medvedev holds the higher verified hard-court Elo in this comparison, with an Elo gap of 163.6 points. The rating baseline converts to 28.1% for Daniel Merida Aguilar and 71.9% for Daniil Medvedev before any separate market or contextual assessment.

MATCH CONTEXT

Hard-court matchup factors

Daniil Medvedev enters with the stronger recorded hold percentage (84.9% versus 75.6%). Daniel Merida Aguilar has created more return-game pressure by break percentage (32.0% versus 28.2%). These indicators describe the matchup rather than guarantee an outcome; current odds and late match information can materially change the value assessment.

Match FAQ

What does the Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev prediction assess?

It compares verified 2026 player records, recent form, hard Elo, serve-and-return indicators, H2H history and available market odds.

What is the Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev H2H record?

CourtValue has not found a reliable completed H2H record for this matchup and does not invent one.

Are the displayed odds a guaranteed pick?

No. Odds and Elo estimates can change and no prediction guarantees a result or profit. CourtValue separates statistical comparison from any separately labelled Official Pick.